Combining forecasts from nested models |
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Consumption amenities and city crowdedness |
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Consumption and aggregate constraints evidence from U.S. states and Canadian provinces |
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Coyote crossings the role of smugglers in illegal immigration and border enforcement |
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Currency competition a partial vindication of Hayek |
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Disaggregate evidence on the persistence of consumer price inflation |
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Do federal funds futures need adjustment for excess returns? a state-dependent approach |
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Dynamic specifications in optimizing trend-deviation macro models |
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The economics of labor adjustment mind the gap |
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The effect of old-age insurance on male retirement evidence from historical cross-country data |
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Endogenous multiple currencies |
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Estimating equilibrium real interest rates in real time |
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Estimation of adjustment costs in a model of state-dependent pricing |
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Evaluating long-horizon forecasts |
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An examination of rating agencies' actions around the investment-grade boundary |
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Expectational stability in regime-switching rational expectations models |
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Financial intermediaries, markets, and growth |
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Financial letter, Nov. 1983: |
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Fiscal reaction rules in numerical macro models |
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Forecast-based model selection in the presence of structural breaks |
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Forecasting with small macroeconomic VARs in the presence of instabilities |
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Generalizing the Taylor Principle |
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Government budgetary policies, economic growth and currency substitution in a small open economy |
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Heterogeneity, redistribution, and the Friedman rule |
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Hours and employment implications of search frictions matching aggregate and establishment-level observations |
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How and why do consumers choose their payment methods? |
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How do large banking organizations manage their capital ratio |
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How does openness to capital flows affect growth? |
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How much would banks be willing to pay to become "too-big-to-fail" and to capture other benefits? |
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The impact of wildlife recreation on farmland values |
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Implementing Arrow-Debreu equilibria by trading infinitely-lived securities |
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Implications of real-time data for forecasting and modeling expectations |
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Is auditor independence endogenous? evidence and implications for public policy |
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Is the speed of convergence constant? |
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Liquidity provision vs. deposit insurance preventing bank panics without moral hazard |
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Long-term changes in labor supply and taxes evidence from OECD countries, 1956-2004 |
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Magazine prices revisited |
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Market makers' supply and pricing of financial market liquidity |
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Market-timing strategies that worked |
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Measuring research and development spillovers |
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Minding the gap central bank estimates of the unemployment natural rate |
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Monetary conservatism and fiscal policy |
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Moving to high quality of life |
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Moving to nice weather |
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Net exports, consumption volatility and international real business cycle models |
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On the importance of geographic and technological proximity for R & D spillovers an empirical investigation |
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Optimal monetary policy under commitment with a zero bound on nominal interest rates |
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Optimal pricing of intra-day liquidity |
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Optimality of the Friedman rule in overlapping generations model with spatial separation |
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A park by any other name national park designation as a natural experiment in signaling |
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The performance of monetary and fiscal rules in an open economy with imperfect capital mobility |
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Perhaps the FOMC did what it said it did an alternative interpretation of the great inflation |
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Permanent and transitory policy shocks in an empirical macro model with asymmetric information |
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Phillips curve instability and optimal monetary policy |
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Portfolio choice in tax-deferred and Roth-type savings accounts |
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The potential role of subordinated debt programs in enhancing market discipline in banking |
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The predictive content of the output gap for inflation resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence |
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Private money, settlement, and discount a comment |
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Production interdependence and welfare |
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A productivity model of city crowdedness |
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Real rigidities and nominal price changes |
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Reconciling Bagehot with the Fed's response to Sept. 11 |
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Regime changes and monetary stagflation |
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Research working papers |
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Risk-adjusted futures and intermeeting moves |
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Risk sharing and industrial specialization regional and international evidence |
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RWP |
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Should monetary policy respond to asset price bubbles? some experimental results |
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The social value of risk-free government debt |
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Specific factors meet intermediate inputs implications for strategic complementarities and persistence |
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Sticky information and sticky prices |
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Targeting inflation and the fiscal balance what is the optimal policy mix? |
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Target's corporate governance and bank merger payoff |
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The Taylor rule and the transformation of monetary policy |
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Term premia endogenous constraints on monetary policy |
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Tests of equal predictive ability with real-time data |
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The U.S. as a coastal nation |
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Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the martingale difference hypothesis |
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What do you expect? imperfect policy credibility and tests of the expectations hypothesis |
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What does the yield curve tell us about the Federal Reserve's implicit inflation target? |
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When should labor contracts be nominal? |
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Why does the cyclical behavior of real wages change over time? |
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